Buyer Power Rising as Inventory Exceeds Pre-Pandemic Levels

Dated: July 8 2025

Views: 1859

Rutherford County Housing Market Update: June 2025 & Mid-Year Overview

As we reach the halfway point of 2025, it’s time to take a comprehensive look at the real estate landscape in Rutherford County. This month’s update offers not only the June market snapshot but also key insights into year-to-date trends—and what they could mean for buyers and sellers moving forward.

June 2024 Local Market Data - Murfreesboro TN

June 2025 Snapshot

After a dip in May, the market saw a rebound in June with closed home sales up 11% compared to the same month last year. While pending sales dipped slightly (down -4.65%), the median price per square foot remains consistent, matching the previous month’s $220, which is up 2.5% year-over-year.

New construction continues to play a significant role in the local market, making up 33% of all closings—a share that has remained between 30–40% over the past three years.

One of the most noteworthy developments in June: Inventory levels are surging. The average daily inventory is up 40% from June 2024, and the number of active single-family listings has reached 1,450, surpassing pre-pandemic levels. Of those, 32% are new construction homes, reflecting ongoing growth and development in our area.

With inventory currently sitting at 3.8 months supply, a 20% jump over last year, we’re currently in a balancing act, teetering in a balanced market, but with some downward pressure on price points $500K and up.

Rutherford County Active Real Estate Listings

We saw 799 new listings come on the market in June, and while that may not be an immediately alarming statistic, it is worth noting that this is the first time we’ve seen a dip in new listings from May to June since we began tracking the seasonal data in 2018.

So, should we expect to see supply shift? If we look back at the buying cycle, we can expect closings to drop slightly this month following June's dip in contracts. However, modestly improved interested rates, currently averaging 6.67% (30-yr FRM), could bolster contracts for the remainder of the summer, keeping the market somewhat stable.

Rutherford County TN Seasonal Real Estate Statistics

Another standout statistic: 12 homes sold for over $1 million in June, including a record-setting $10 million sale of a nearly 100-acre estate on Sharpsville Road, featuring a lodge-style home and equestrian facilities. This is only the second time in Rutherford County's history we’ve had ten or more million dollar home sales in a single month, the first being April of last year.

Rutherford County Absorption Rates - Months Supply of Homes

Year-To-Date (Through June)

Looking at the first half of 2025, here’s how the market compares to the same period last year:

  • Closings are down slightly by -4.65%

  • Days on Market have increased 26% to 34 days on average
  • Average Sales Price and Median Price Per Square Foot have both edged upward 3.15% and 2.34% respectively

While these indicators may seem mixed, they point to a gradual shift toward a buyer’s market. Inventory is increasing, and we’re now approaching a 4-month supply of homes, nearing the threshold often associated with balanced or buyer-favorable conditions. In some price segments, supply has already exceeded that benchmark including the executive and luxury markets of $600K and up, which are currently at a 6.12 month supply.

Key Takeaway

With more homes on the market than buyers in many price ranges, price sensitivity is becoming critical. Sellers must ensure their homes are not only in excellent condition but also competitively priced from day one. We’re no longer looking at last month’s comparables, but at today’s competition.

If you have questions about your home’s value, market timing, or how to navigate this changing landscape, give us a call at 615-867-3020. We’re here to help you make informed decisions in our dynamic local market.

Blog author image

Rob Janson

Rob Janson grew up in real estate, with his family owning a successful independent brokerage in Bristol, Tennessee. Rob moved to Murfreesboro in 1997 to attend Middle Tennessee State University. After....

Latest Blog Posts

The Housing Market Just Got Better for Buyers

The Rutherford County housing market continued to slow in August, following a similar path to July. Higher mortgage rates, growing inventory, and softer buyer activity are creating a market that

Read More

This July Rutherford's Slowest In Years

After a strong June, the Rutherford County housing market slowed noticeably in July as higher mortgage rates, record inventory, and seasonal factors put additional pressure on buyer activity. Read

Read More

Strongest Local Housing Numbers In Nearly 2 Years

The Rutherford County housing market delivered some of its strongest numbers in nearly two years during June, signaling continued improvement as buyer confidence grows. While the market isn't,

Read More

May Housing Report Reveals Critical Seller Strategy

The Rutherford County housing market continued to show signs of a balanced-to-buyer-friendly environment in May, with steady sales activity, increased buyer demand, and growing inventory. But the

Read More